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1.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 66: 104-109, 2020 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1454026

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Type 2 endoleaks (T2Es) are the main cause of reintervention after endovascular repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms (EVAR). The objective of this study is to quantify success rates of T2E treatment. METHODS: This study involves a retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database containing data on all consecutive patients treated for a T2E between 2003 and 2017 in a single center. Technical success was defined as absence of endoleak in the final angiographic control after treatment. Clinical success was defined as absence of sac growth over 5 mm in the contrast-enhanced computed tomography performed a year thereafter. Statistics included Kaplan-Meier survival estimates. RESULTS: A total of 528 elective EVARs were performed in the period. Thirty-six of these (6.8%) developed a T2E requiring reintervention, a median of 37.9 months after EVAR. Twenty-five percent of the treatments were performed more than 5 years after intervention. Twenty-eight of the 36 treatments were performed via transarterial embolization. For this technique, technical success was 71.4% and clinical success was 62.5%. A subsequent reintervention was required in 35.7% of patients. In this cohort, the rate of aneurysm rupture was 10.7% (n = 3/28), open surgical conversion was needed in 2 of 28 cases (7.1%), and rate of aneurysm-related death was 14.3% (n = 4/28) over follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: A high percentage of patients are at risk of adverse outcomes after T2E treatment. Strict imaging follow-up is still needed in this population.


Subject(s)
Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/surgery , Blood Vessel Prosthesis Implantation/adverse effects , Embolization, Therapeutic , Endoleak/therapy , Endovascular Procedures/adverse effects , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/diagnostic imaging , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/mortality , Blood Vessel Prosthesis Implantation/mortality , Databases, Factual , Embolization, Therapeutic/adverse effects , Embolization, Therapeutic/mortality , Endoleak/diagnostic imaging , Endoleak/etiology , Endoleak/mortality , Endovascular Procedures/mortality , Humans , Retreatment , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome
3.
PLoS One ; 16(6): e0253327, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1269922

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The National Health Service (NHS) abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening programme (NAAASP) in England screens 65-year-old men. The programme monitors those with an aneurysm, and early intervention for large aneurysms reduces ruptures and AAA-related mortality. AAA screening services have been disrupted following COVID-19 but it is not known how this may impact AAA-related mortality, or where efforts should be focussed as services resume. METHODS: We repurposed a previously validated discrete event simulation model to investigate the impact of COVID-19-related service disruption on key outcomes. This model was used to explore the impact of delayed invitation and reduced attendance in men invited to screening. Additionally, we investigated the impact of temporarily suspending scans, increasing the threshold for elective surgery to 7cm and increasing drop-out in the AAA cohort under surveillance, using data from NAAASP to inform the population. FINDINGS: Delaying invitation to primary screening up to two years had little impact on key outcomes whereas a 10% reduction in attendance could lead to a 2% lifetime increase in AAA-related deaths. In surveillance patients, a 1-year suspension of surveillance or increase in the elective threshold resulted in a 0.4% increase in excess AAA-related deaths (8% in those 5-5.4cm at the start). Longer suspensions or a doubling of drop-out from surveillance would have a pronounced impact on outcomes. INTERPRETATION: Efforts should be directed towards encouraging men to attend AAA screening service appointments post-COVID-19. Those with AAAs on surveillance should be prioritised as the screening programme resumes, as changes to these services beyond one year are likely to have a larger impact on surgical burden and AAA-related mortality.


Subject(s)
Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/diagnosis , Aortic Rupture/prevention & control , COVID-19/prevention & control , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data , Models, Statistical , Age Factors , Aged , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/complications , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/mortality , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/surgery , Aortic Rupture/etiology , Aortic Rupture/mortality , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/transmission , Communicable Disease Control/standards , Computer Simulation , Cost of Illness , Elective Surgical Procedures/standards , Elective Surgical Procedures/statistics & numerical data , England/epidemiology , Health Policy , Humans , Male , Mass Screening/organization & administration , Mass Screening/standards , Pandemics/prevention & control , Patient Acceptance of Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors , Severity of Illness Index , State Medicine/standards , State Medicine/statistics & numerical data , Time-to-Treatment , Ultrasonography/standards , Ultrasonography/statistics & numerical data
4.
J Vasc Surg ; 73(3): 780-788, 2021 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-738534

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The worldwide pandemic involving the novel respiratory syndrome (COVID-19) has forced health care systems to delay elective operations, including abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair, to conserve resources. This study provides a structured analysis of the decision to delay AAA repair and quantify the potential for harm. METHODS: A decision tree was constructed modeling immediate repair of AAA relative to an initial nonoperative (delayed repair) approach. Risks of COVID-19 contraction and mortality, aneurysm rupture, and operative mortality were considered. A deterministic sensitivity analysis for a range of patient ages (50 to >80), probability of COVID-19 infection (0.01%-30%), aneurysm size (5.5 to >7 cm), and time horizons (3-9 months) was performed. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted for three representative ages (60, 70, and 80). Analyses were conducted for endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) and open surgical repair (OSR). RESULTS: Patients with aneurysms 7 cm or greater demonstrated a higher probability of survival when treated with immediate EVAR or OSR, compared with delayed repair, for patients under 80 years of age. When considering EVAR for aneurysms 5.5 to 6.9 cm, immediate repair had a higher probability of survival except in settings with a high probability of COVID-19 infection (10%-30%) and advanced age (70-85+ years). A nonoperative strategy maximized the probability of survival as patient age or operative risk increased. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated that patients with large aneurysms (>7 cm) faced a 5.4% to 7.7% absolute increase in the probability of mortality with a delay of repair of 3 months. Young patients (60-70 years) with aneurysms 6 to 6.9 cm demonstrated an elevated risk of mortality (1.5%-1.9%) with a delay of 3 months. Those with aneurysms 5 to 5.9 cm demonstrated an increased survival with immediate repair in young patients (60); however, this was small in magnitude (0.2%-0.8%). The potential for harm increased as the length of surgical delay increased. For elderly patients requiring OSR, in the context of endemic COVID-19, delay of repair improves the probability of survival. CONCLUSIONS: The decision to delay operative repair of AAA should consider both patient age and local COVID-19 prevalence in addition to aneurysm size. EVAR should be considered when possible due to a reduced risk of harm and lower resource utilization.


Subject(s)
Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/surgery , COVID-19/epidemiology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/mortality , Decision Trees , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Survival Rate
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